Paul Raskin is president and founder of the Tellus Institute. It has grand plans to reframe the world into something it will never be. In 2006 Raskin and his minions wrote, "World Lines Pathways, Pivots, and the Global Future". One particular page is interesting as it describes what has been going on in the U.S. and world. On page 10 the booklet discusses: "The sources of general crises are located in this nexus where environmental, social, and geo-economic dimensions overlap--the central region of Figure 5. These would be extremely complex phenomena driven by multiple causes and feedbacks that cannot be discerned in advance. However, it is possible to imagine plausible high impact events that might trigger a chain reaction of de-stabilization. For illustration, five possible triggers of a general crisis are shown in Figure 6. One chain begins with severe climate change leading to altered hydrological patterns, food shortages, economic collapse, social disruption, institutional breakdown, and international conflict. Another path to general crisis might be initiated by an unprecedented pandemic; perhaps via an extremely contagious disease vector that emerges from disrupted ecosystems and is carried to the four corners of the Earth by a highly mobile affluent population and by waves of impoverished refugees fleeing the spreading chaos. A third sequence might begin with a macro-terrorist attack, such as nuclear detonations in major cities or wide deployment of biological weapons, resulting in colossal disruption and death counts orders of magnitude greater than past attacks, massive military reaction, and an ongoing cycle of violence and disruption. A fourth cycle of destabilization might begin with absolute oil shortages and huge spikes in cost, leading to economic de-stabilization and wide geo-political conflict. Finally, a fifth might begin with a collapse in the global financial system where the combined effects of excessive speculative investment, artificial exchange rates, and massive international debt reach a tipping point, and a global depression ensues with profound social, environmental, and geo-political reverberations." What does Raskin know that we don't?
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